Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

7

150Ṁ157

2100

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 740 Metaculus community forecasters was Feb 14, 2033 on Aug 03, 2023.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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