When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
27
400Ṁ4057resolved May 8
100%99.0%
2025 or earlier
0.4%
2026 or 2027
0.4%
2028 or 2029
0.2%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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