
Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
13
100Ṁ8452027
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
if he says "i'm a christian in a way" in a context where christian is defined in a non-standard way that means he's only technically a christian in the context of that convo, but he doesn't believe god probably exists or jesus was resurrected or something, that would not be sufficient to resolve this market positively.
The market resolves YES if he converts to Christianity in a meaningful way, ie if the average person would look at his actions and would describe him as having converted to christianity.
Resolves NO in 2027 otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2026?
7% chance
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
4% chance
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
3% chance
Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
79% chance
Sam Harris will confess faith in Jesus Christ as Lord before 2042
9% chance
Will Sam Altman convert to Christian/Mormon Transhumanism by 2035?
8% chance
Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
19% chance
Will Paul Christiano become a father by EOY 2031? #ChristianoBabby
61% chance
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
4% chance
Will I believe in Christianity before the end of summer 2025?
17% chance