Who will win the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district
2
100Ṁ65
2026
61%
Caroline Menjivar (incumbent)
39%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 20th State Senate district. The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

The 20th State Senate district encompasses most of the San Fernando Valley section of northern Los Angeles, including Burbank, Van Nuys, Reseda, Canoga Park, Tujunga, Sun Valley, Shadow Hills, Lake View Terrace, Arleta, Panorama City, Pacoima, Mission Hills, San Fernando, and Sylmar. (en.wikipedia.org)

Caroline Menjivar, the incumbent senator, was elected in 2022 and is eligible to run for re-election in 2026. (en.wikipedia.org) As of July 2025, she has declared her candidacy for the upcoming election. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

As of July 2025, no other candidates have publicly declared their intention to run for this seat. However, the filing deadline for the 2026 election has not yet passed, and additional candidates may enter the race. Voters should monitor official announcements and updates from the California Secretary of State's office for the most current information on the candidate roster.

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