SPY reaches 774 (20% gain from 645) before 516 (20% loss from 645)
2
1kṀ1732026
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if SPY reaches a price of 774 (representing a 20% gain from 645) before it reaches a price of 516 (representing a 20% loss from 645). It resolves NO if SPY reaches 516 before reaching 774.
The market will be resolved based on the daily closing price as reported on Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/) or any other major financial data provider if Yahoo Finance is unavailable.
Current SPY price as of August 14, 2025: ~645
Resolution criteria:
YES: SPY closes at or above 774 before ever closing at or below 516
NO: SPY closes at or below 516 before ever closing at or above 774
N/A: If neither price point is reached before the close date
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
SPY reaches 669 by EOY?
51% chance
SPY dips below $450? (2025)
11% chance
SPX 6666 by EOY?
81% chance
What will be the price of SPY ($) at the end of 2026 (0.1x)
65% chance
Will spy be worth more than $436 on May 12 2026?
94% chance
S&P 500 crosses 7000 before it crosses 6000 again?
57% chance