Will the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) become extinct by 2100?
3
100Ṁ402100
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the extinction risk of the wild population:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the wild population of the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) become extinct by 2100?
42% chance
Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
31% chance
Will the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become extinct in the current century?
99% chance
Will the wild population of the Ryukyuan Pygmy Squid (Idiosepius kijimuna) become extinct by 2100?
48% chance
Will the Ryukyuan Pygmy Squid (Idiosepius kijimuna) become extinct by 2100?
48% chance
Will the Leatherback Turtle (Dermochelys coriacea) become extinct in the current century?
32% chance
Will the Olive Ridley Turtle, aka Pacific Ridley Turtle (Lepidochelys olivacea) become extinct in the current century?
14% chance
Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?
72% chance
Will the Green Anaconda, a.k.a. Giant Anaconda (Eunectes murinus) become extinct in the current century?
17% chance
Will the Hippopotamus (Hippopotamus amphibius) become extinct in the current century?
21% chance