Will the wild population of the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct by 2100?
5
100Ṁ1612100
73%
chance
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This market focuses on the risk of extinction of the wild population of the Axolotl. It will resolve YES, if the Axolotl is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Axolotl persists.
For more information about the species, see:
This is the market about the risk of complete extinction, including captive animals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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