Best available language model from an OpenAI competitor by 2026
7
170Ṁ1092026
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At any point before 1 Jan 2026, for a period of 3 months or more, will the best available language model be built by someone other than OpenAI? Must be publicly avaliable, via open source parameters or API (which could be paid).
Mar 25, 6:37am: Best available language model from an OpenAI c competitor by 2026 → Best available language model from an OpenAI competitor by 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the top model by OpenAI rank 3rd (or lower) behind 2 other model families at any point before 2026?
64% chance
Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?
81% chance
Most popular language model from OpenAI competitor by 2026?
38% chance
When will OpenAI release an open source model?
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
45% chance
The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 2 years
29% chance
The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 5 years
42% chance
DeepSeek will have the best language model in the world by a clear margin as of Feb 1 2026
14% chance
OpenAI's next major AI model will be more open than GPT-4 by June 30, 2025
Next model open sourced by OpenAI?