Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
15
1kṀ25512026
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections. This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators). It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
27% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
23% chance
Republicans have House majority after 2026 midterms?
19% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democratic party win more than 240 US house seats in the 2026 election?
55% chance
Will the Democrats control the House at any time before August 2025?
1% chance
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
56% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
78% chance