Will Neuralink achieve "combined I/O Bit rate > 1Mbs" by 2030?
1
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48%
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See https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1867978513149530439
Resolution Criteria (AI generated)
Market resolves YES if Neuralink publicly announces or demonstrates having installed a device with a combined input/output bit rate exceeding 1 megabit per second (Mbps) at any point before December 31, 2030, 23:59:59 UTC. This includes both the data received from the brain (input) and the signals sent to the brain (output) combined.
Resolves NO if:
Neuralink fails to achieve or announce such a milestone by the end of 2030
Neuralink ceases operations before achieving this goal
The company achieves a higher bit rate but only in laboratory conditions without actual human installation
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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