
Will China fully annex Taiwan before 2053?
5
90Ṁ982053
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A puppet government which is nominally semi-autonomous but actually under Beijing control (ala USSR satellite states) would still count as full annexation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
6% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
7% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
33% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
48% chance