Will a deepfake cause a real diplomatic crisis between two countries by the end of 2027?
11
100แน2192027
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By December 31, 2027, will a deepfake (whether video, image, or audio) cause a serious diplomatic spat between two countries?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will a deepfake video cause a major political controversy involving a head of state by 2026?
57% chance
Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025?
15% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
By the end of 2027 will a deepfake of a famous person be reported as real by mainstream news organizations
80% chance
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
74% chance
Will an AI generated video have significant impact on US politics before 2029?
75% chance
In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?
64% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
65% chance
Images assumed to be deepfakes/AI-generated unless proven otherwise before 2030
51% chance
Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?
66% chance