German Bundestag election 2025 requires partial repetition in at least one district by August 1st 2025
5
100Ṁ89Aug 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on the 2021 precedent where elections had to be repeated in 455 Berlin districts due to irregularities, this market predicts whether any districts will require a repeat election following the February 23, 2025 Bundestag election.
Resolution criteria: Market resolves YES if the Federal Constitutional Court or Federal Returning Officer officially orders a repeat election in any district by August 1st 2025. Resolves NO if no repeat elections are ordered by this date.
Sources:
Federal Constitutional Court: https://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/
Federal Returning Officer: https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025.html
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