How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
1
270Ṁ62026
5.5
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?
5% chance
Will a frontier AI lab release a computer-use agent product by April?
Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?
16% chance
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
45% chance
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
90% chance
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
will a paper released in 2025 by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
28% chance
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
85% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
55% chance