Which country will the US sign a rare earths deal with first ?
6
100Ṁ212
2029
90%
Ukraine
3%
Russia
7%
No deal

This market will resolve to the country with which the United States first signs a formal agreement specifically focused on rare earth minerals development, extraction, processing, or supply chain cooperation.

  • The agreement must be officially announced by the U.S. government or the partner country's government

  • The deal must explicitly include rare earth elements/minerals as a primary focus

  • Memorandums of Understanding (MOUs) or preliminary agreements will count if they are formally signed by authorized representatives of both governments

  • The market will resolve based on the date of signing, not the date of implementation or announcement

  • If the U.S. signs a multi-country agreement that includes both Ukraine and Russia simultaneously, the market will resolve to whichever country is listed first in the agreement or whichever bilateral component is signed first

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