
Will GPT-5 release before GTA 6?
6
100Ṁ3182027
92%
chance
1D
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This market resolves to YES if OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5 before Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6).
"Public release" of GPT-5 refers to an official announcement and availability for general use, including only to a specific tier of paid users, but excluding private access such as to red teamers and other testers or researchers.
"Release" of GTA 6 refers to its official launch for consumers on any platform, not just pre-orders or limited early-access.
If both are released on the same day, the market resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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