Will AI companion apps surpass dating apps in average daily active U.S. users by the end of 2027?
5
100Ṁ1012027
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Yes:
Combined average DAU of top 3 AI companion apps (e.g., Replika, Character.AI, Nomi.ai) > combined average DAU of top 3 dating apps (e.g., Tinder, Bumble, Hinge) by the end of 2027, per Sensor Tower or data.ai reports.
No:
AI total ≤ dating total, or insufficient public data by January 31, 2028 (defaults to No).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
By 2026, will a "nonsocial media app" exclusively serving AI-generated shortform content reach one million DAU?
54% chance
Who will have the most popular AI assistant at the end of 2025? (judged by active users)
Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍♂️🤝💻
67% chance
Who will publicly say they have/had an AI bot as romantic and/or sexual partner before 2030?
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
86% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
8% chance
Significant AI companion addiction by 2027?
91% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
23% chance
Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?
19% chance
What will be the male/female split of the most popular AI girlfriend/boyfriend app in 2035?