How many seats will centre to centre-left parties have in the UK House of Commons on January 1st 2030?
2
225Ṁ1012030
Invalid contract
Currently, Wikipedia lists the following parties as centre to centre left:
Labour
Liberal Democrats
Scottish National Party
Green Party
Plaid Cymru
SDLP
Alliance Party
New parties that are considered to be centre to centre-left may be added to this list at my discretion; I will also evaluate independent candidates.
Sinn Féin is excluded from this list because of their abstentionism.
If this market was resolved at the time of creation, it would resolve between 504 and 507 (399 Labour + 72 Liberal Democrats + 9 Scottish National Party + 4 Green Party + 4 Plaid Cymru + 2 SDLP + 1 Alliance + 13-16 independents)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
How many seats will Labour win at the next general election?
-
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
14% chance
Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
Which party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
How many seats will "Your Party" win at the next UK general election?
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
-