How much fWAR will Shohei Ohtani accumulate in the 2025 MLB regular season?
4
609Ṁ519
Oct 2
97%
At least 0.0 (the minimum to not be considered worse than a replacement level player)
97%
At least 1.1 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2018)
96%
At least 1.6 (what he got in 2019)
83%
At least 2.4 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2023)
82%
At least 2.7 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2018)
78%
At least 3.0 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2021)
60%
At least 3.6 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2022)
50%
At least 3.8 (what he got in 2018)
50%
At least 4.5
50%
At least 5.0 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2021)
50%
At least 5.6 (what he got from Pit WAR alone in 2022)
50%
At least 6.5 (what he got from Bat WAR alone in 2023)
50%
At least 7.0
50%
At least 7.8 (what Freddie Freeman got in his highest WAR season, 2023)
40%
At least 8.0 (what he got in 2021)
40%
At least 8.5
40%
At least 8.9 (what he got in 2023)
41%
At least 9.1 (what he got in 2024)
36%
At least 9.2 (what he got in 2022)
34%
At least 9.5

For explanation of WAR (wins above replacement), see here: https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/

fWAR refers to WAR as calculated by the website Fangraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/

Resolution will be based on Fangraphs numbers.

WAR can be negative / go backwards so resolution will not occur when he initially crosses the mark.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules