Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
13
1kṀ3732035
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Which novels will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2025
Which novellas will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2025
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
71% chance
Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?
6% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
40% chance
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
68% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?
19% chance
Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?
7% chance