"Hamnet" wins Best Picture?
6
1kṀ2170Jan 20
19%
chance
1D
1W
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Resolves YES if "Hamnet" (2025) wins the Best Picture Oscar at the Academy Awards.
Context: Variety places "Hamnet" as its #1 contender as of August 24—there's no strong favorite this early in the season, so I am curious how low the probability of their pick is.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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