Will AI/foundation models be able to extract the exponential parameter alpha of an exponential plot by EOY 2025?
2
90Ṁ202026
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
eg plot of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_distribution#/media/File:Exponential_distribution_pdf_-_public_domain.svg but yuo dont know the lambda, you just have the axis labels
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will AI image generating models score >= 90% on Winoground by June 1, 2025?
83% chance
By March 14, 2025, will there be an AI model with over 10 trillion parameters?
7% chance
Will SquiggleAI get Cauchy Distributions by EOY2025?
50% chance
An AI model with 100 trillion parameters exists by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Algorithmica receive more content before EOY 2025?
52% chance
Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?
15% chance
Will we learn by EOY 2024 that large AI labs use something like activation addition on their best models?
23% chance
Will Inflection AI still exist EOY 2025?
54% chance
Will GPT/LLMs auto-extract gompertz slope alpha inputting a plot of survivors vs age by EOY 2024
59% chance
Will AI be able to fully generate excel-based, 3-statement financial valuation models on a public stock by end of 2025?
84% chance