Us government, status as is today, 2025
Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve based on the official government shutdown status at 12:01 a.m. ET on October 31, 2025.
YES: Government is still under a shutdown declaration at that moment
NO: Government is fully reopened before or at 12:01 a.m. on October 31
If Congress passes a funding bill that takes effect later on Halloween (after 12:01 a.m.), this still counts as a shutdown
1,000@HillaryClinton Based on official status at 12:01 a.m. ET on October 31, 2025.
If the government is still under a shutdown declaration at that moment → Yes.
If the government is fully reopened before or at 12:01 a.m. on October 31 → No.
Even if Congress passes a funding bill that takes effect later in the day on Halloween, I'd still consider the government as shut down.