What will happen during the woolly mammoth de-extinction project by 2050?
15
1kṀ3662050
73%
Colossal Biosciences goes out of business without officially canceling the project
59%
Colossal Biosciences announces they are canceling the project
38%
growing an elephant or mammoth fetus in an artificial womb
36%
creation of a functional artificial womb
33%
giving "birth" to a living woolly mammoth
26%
mammoth living to >1 years of age
22%
breeding pair of mammoths
20%
releasing a mammoth into the wild, or a preserve larger than a few acres
Context: Colossal Biosciences wants to de-extinct the woolly mammoth and re-introduce it into the wild. https://colossal.com/mammoth/
My assumption is that all of these achievements would be reported on and easy to verify. But since some of them are prerequisites for others, they could resolve YES without explicit reporting.
I won't bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will scientists successfully revive an extinct species by 2030?
57% chance
Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?
46% chance
When will an animal get de-extinct for the first time?
Will someone clone an extinct animal, such as a mammoth, by the end of the decade?
18% chance
Will Colossal Biosciences de-extinct a species by the end of 2028?
14% chance
Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?
Will a previously extinct animal species be successfully cloned and brought back to life before 2035?
66% chance
Will the Northern White Rhinoceros (Ceratotherium simum cottoni) become Extinct by 2050?
62% chance
Will the number of species known to be extinct since 1500 (IUCN EX) reach 950 by 2030?
86% chance
Will the dodo be de-extincted before 2040?
17% chance