Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?

25

1kṀ4182

2029

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1 YES

was short @ 50

Flipped long @ 16

Will sell in November when it goes to 30+

bought Ṁ10 YES

Full transparency

Adding at 11% election night, if things go zany I’m going to post this to one of the markets saying social u rest at 70% and then monetize.

Total punt but 70% unrest vs 10% 4yr civil war odds seems too wide

Related questions

Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?

+3% 1d33% chance

Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

-26% 1d41% chance

Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

If Trump wins, will the U.S. have a civil war by end 2030?

When will there be a civil war in the USA?

Related questions

Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?

Will the USA have another civil war before the end of the decade?

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

If Trump wins, will the U.S. have a civil war by end 2030?

Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?

When will there be a civil war in the USA?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules