NATO shoots down manned, Russian military aircraft in 2025
29
1kṀ1906Dec 31
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Any Russian military aircraft with people on board counts. Location doesn't matter.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@StepanBakhmarin seems like there is a little bit of an arbitrage opportunity between the longer timeline and that NATO shooting down an aircraft outside of NATO airspace is possible but seems unlikely
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