When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
12
500Ṁ13072061
69%
Before 2029
20%
2030-2034
4%
2035-2039
1.1%
2040-2044
1.1%
2045-2049
1.1%
2050-2054
1.1%
2055-2059
2%
Resolve the year in which a large majority of rideshare rides (80% or more) are completed by self-driving cars (i.e., the passenger is the only person in the car) within the US
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
11% chance
Will there be self driving taxis in London before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
3% chance
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
37% chance
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
19% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?