When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
12
500Ṁ11332061
46%
Before 2029
34%
2030-2034
10%
2035-2039
2%
2040-2044
2%
2045-2049
2%
2050-2054
2%
2055-2059
2%
Resolve the year in which a large majority of rideshare rides (80% or more) are completed by self-driving cars (i.e., the passenger is the only person in the car) within the US
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
49% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
34% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
90% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
10% chance
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
50% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
26% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
18% chance