Will the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' become law by July 4th?
20
300Ṁ804Jul 6
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
US President Donald Trump and congressional republicans have pushed for the One Bill Beautiful Bill Act to be passed by July 4th. Will this occur?
This resolves "yes" if it is signed into law by July 4th 11:59PM in Washington DC. This will be resolved from a combination of the linked Wikipedia page (ignoring temporary vandalism), and the congress.gov HR.1 page (which currently might be out of date). Any amendments are allowed as long as the wikipedia page still resolves to an article on passed legislation. I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Reconciliation Bill Passed by July 31st?
82% chance
Will the House pass the Big Beautiful Bill?
86% chance
Major reconciliation bill signed into law by EOY 2025?
83% chance
Will the President sign a reconciliation bill by September 1?
80% chance
Will the Senate pass a bill limiting POTUS tariff authority before July 1?
0% chance
Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Jul 2025?
51% chance
Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Aug 2025?
58% chance
Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Oct 2025?
53% chance