Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

53

1kṀ15k

2029

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029.

Sep 14, 9:26pm: ~~Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President?~~ → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

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I don't know why people are betting YES; the 22nd Amendment would need to be repealed in addition to Trump actually remaining popular enough to win not only a second, but a third term.

predictedNO

@Annika Could also pack the supreme court with loyalists or ignore an adverse ruling

@MartinRandall He’s also old as dirt. He might not live another four years.

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