
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
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Burevestnik is a nuclear weapon, and it was just tested. The question did not require detonation.
@Henry38hw "nuclear capable missle" is not a nuclear weapon, it's a thing that a nuclear weapon goes into. I'd say "nuclear weapons test" requires at (least attempted) detonation by definition.
See also discussion here https://manifold.markets/KongoLandwalker/will-russia-conduct-a-nuclear-weapo-5194a1fded40
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