Will Trump pardon or grant clemency to Eric Adams?
5
100Ṁ5532029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Eric Adams receives a pardon or clemency from Trump before the deadline of the question.
Resolves NO if the question elapses before such a pardon or clemency is granted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I am somewhat disappointed in myself that I didn't consider this outcome. Nevertheless I think the current market value of 8% is surprisingly low. Note that the charges were dropped "without prejudice" and can be resumed at any time. The market lasts until 2029 and I think its pretty likely that Trump will just go absolutely ham with protective pardons on his way out the door, especially for people like Adams.
bought Ṁ20 NO
Despite recent reports... I'm thinking Trump wouldn't do it before a bunch of Jan 6 people... And in a few months he will have forgotten Adams exists
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