When will Ukraine join the EU?
36
1kแน€4270
2030
0.4%
2023
1%
2024
1%
2025
3%
2026
8%
2027
10%
2028
10%
2029
66%
2030 or later or never

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"2030 or later or never" is one hell of a bucket. When prompted about the actual steps required for accession, the Metaculus community gives only a 6% chance of it happening before 2030.

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