When will DeepSeek release V4?
19
1kṀ24372026
15%
Before April 2025
23%
Before May 2025
37%
Before June 2025
44%
Before July 2025
52%
Before August 2025
56%
Before September 2025
72%
Before October 2025
76%
Before November 2025
92%
Before December 2025
Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.
To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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