Will two decabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
9
160Ṁ2172030
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Elon Musk recently said he was up to a cage fight against Zuckerberg.

But one of them seems to have backed out of the idea since then.
Will two decabillionaires get into a publicized physical battle, before 2030?
Decabillionaires are people whose networth is above 10 billion dollars. Their networth will be considered at the time of the fight.
See also:
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-fa89bfc89aa5
/Bayesian/will-two-billionaires-have-a-public-5fd2b59748ca
/Bayesian/will-two-decabillionaires-have-a-pu (This one)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Will two centabillionaires have a publicized physical fight before 2030?
23% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2025?
12% chance
Conditional on two decabillionaires having a publicized physical fight before 2030, will the richer one win?
44% chance
Will two billionaires have a publicized physical fight in 2026?
12% chance
Will any decabillionaire be murdered before 2026?
16% chance
Will Elon Musk challenge someone to a physical fight before the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will Elon Musk challenges Jeff Bezos, Tim Cook, Sundar Pichai, OR Jensen Huang to a fight before end of 2025?
10% chance
Will the Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg fight happen in 2025?
5% chance
Will anyone become a trillionaire before 2030?
50% chance