Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035? | Manifold

Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035?

19

1kṀ2290

2034

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A skyhook is a proposed momentum exchange tether, a station connected to a cable extending toward the upper atmosphere to accelerate payloads.

This market will be resolved Yes if by 2035 there is an operational structure in low Earth orbit that works as the skyhook concept suggests.

Also, consider betting on a similar market with longer timeframe:

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It's possible, but I think we'd know about it by now if any of the possible contenders were going for it.

@Berg make a question for 2040 🙏

@MalachiteEagle you think we will see a skyhook after 2034 but before 2040 specifically?

@Berg I wouldn't bet on a specific date but think there's a decent chance of one being built before 2040.

@Berg Maybe 2045 would make the market stabilize closer to 50% for now?

predictedYES

Here's an animation that excellently explains the concept of skyhooks, its feasibility, and advantages:

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