Will Elise Stefanik serve for Trump’s entire term?
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2029
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Resolves NO if she resigns, is fired, dies, or never takes office as UN Ambassador.

  • Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

    • YES: Resolves YES if Elise Stefanik serves continuously as UN Ambassador from her confirmation until the end of Trump’s term.

    • NA: Resolves NA if she fails to get Senate confirmation.

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@creator Is there any restriction on when she needs to become UN ambassador for this to resolve as YES?
For example, she doesn't run for her next term, and becomes is UN ambassador from Jan 2027 until the end of the term, does that count?

@DanielTilkin interesting, I’d say yes, but I see the ambiguity you are getting at. That would technically not be Trump’s whole term, just one year of it.

I don’t think this scenario is likely. More likely, she steps down from Congress and gets confirmed in the next month, but anything is possible.

Clarifications I think make sense:

  • Resolves YES if she serves continuously from her confirmation to the end of Trump’s term

  • Resolves NA if she fails to get Senate confirmation

(fixed typo, Sefanik -> Stefanik)

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