Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?

46

1kṀ24k

2026

2%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if a nuclear weapon coming from Iran detonates or is intercepted in Israeli airspace before 2025.

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#Arab-Israeli Conflict

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The market close date is 1 January 2026 but the title says "Before 2025" which suggests it should resolve 1 January 2025. Is this a typo or intentional?

@zsig oops I meant the end of 2025, sorry @traders for the ambiguity, fixing that now!!

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