JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
18
100แน€1181
2029
4%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
5%
Ascends from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
0.4%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
3%
Ascends from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses
19%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Wins
22%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Nominated // Loses
1.7%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Wins Anyway
46%
Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses

This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029. It asks 3 questions:

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