First remotely-controlled robot used to intentionally kill by Dec 31, 2026
6
1kṀ358
Dec 30
43%
chance

This market resolves YES if credible news reports confirm that a remotely-controlled humanoid or mobile robot was deliberately used by a human operator to intentionally kill another person before December 31, 2026.

Resolution Criteria:

  • Must be confirmed by major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.)

  • Must involve intentional use of remote control by an operator to cause death

  • Includes home robots like 1X NEO or similar platforms weaponized for this purpose

  • Does not include weapons systems made to kill, but consumer products

  • Does not include accidental deaths or workplace incidents

Sources for resolution:

  • Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is focused on consumer goods/robots (like 1X NEO), and excludes drones and other air-borne robots.

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Isn’t this happening in Ukraine daily?

bought Ṁ50 YES

I would say this has already happened https://youtu.be/pVU503OJE_U?si=Oc4c7sfFbBi_MAbG

sold Ṁ52 YES

@Silverpawn I'm pulling out of this market as the criteria changed making it difficult to work out what is included and what is not.

@Silverpawn the original description already excluded weapons

"Includes robots like 1X NEO or similar platforms weaponized for this purpose

  • Does not include autonomous weapons systems"

@MiguelLM But you only have to look at some of what's happening in Ukraine and you see all sorts of consumer robots like lawn mowers converted to kill. My guess is you only wanted humanoid robots but does that exclude the converted robot dogs and hover boards.? It's so ubiquitous now it won't really make the news just the odd YouTube video. I think the line is so blurred it's hard to define now.

@Silverpawn "you see all sorts of consumer robots like lawn mowers converted to kill."

I was not familiar with that. Thanks, I learnt something new.

if drones don't count, are we excluding all air-borne robots?

@DZC Basically consumer goods / robots like NEO.

@CDX im still confused. drones are consumer goods. giving examples "like NEO" doesn't make it clear what the boundaries of the category are. I assume that since you made the market, you don't think this has happened yet. I want to know what definition of robot excludes @Silverpawn 's provided evidence. maybe revise criteria to just "humanoid"?

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