AI Blackmail by 2029
2
1káš752028
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There will be no known case where an AI agent, in normal operation, blackmails its operators to achieve its goals before 2029.
This does not include cases where an AI model reports criminal activity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
84% chance
Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
51% chance
State Of The Art AI systems will be easily jailbroken to do illegal or dangerous outputs in Jan 2026
91% chance
AI Movies by 2027
76% chance
Computer-use AI agent gets scammed / falls victim to a phishing attack, in 2025?
80% chance
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
78% chance
AI system seeks power in a way that wasn't included in the prompt before 2026
69% chance
Massive wave of AI cyberattacks by EOY 2026?
62% chance
America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029
23% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2029?
29% chance