Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025?
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Jan 1
11%
chance

Question will resolve YES if Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025 (going by Eastern US time).

Will resolve NO if Saudi Arabia and Israel have not established official diplomatic relations by the end of 2025.

#🇮🇱 Israel
#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#Middle East
#Saudi Arabia
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bought Ṁ100 NO

The main phase of the war may well end by EOY, but the Saudis will want a few months of quiet first. Netanyahu also might want for it to happen in 2026 because of his election campaign.

bought Ṁ250 NO

Lower on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-in-2025

YES by 2029, but probably not by 2026 I think

bought Ṁ50 YES

@nathanwei But what is this "very big announcement"? Could be this. Going back up.

@nathanwei Looks like the announcement would be "we're arming the saudis no strings attached and the israelis can go arm themselves".

Doesn't sound like normalization will happen this year: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/2/5/non-negotiable-saudi-arabia-flatly-rejects-trumps-gaza-takeover-plan

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