If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
19
2kแน€1668
2029
64%
Josh Shapiro
60%
Mark Cuban
55%
Dwayne Johnson
54%
Jon Stewart
52%
Raphael Warnock
50%
Tim Walz
50%
Gretchen Whitmer
50%
Cory Booker
50%
Stacey Abrams
45%
Beto O'Rourke
45%
Michelle Obama
43%
Gavin Newsom
42%
Pete Buttigieg
40%
Andrew Yang
40%
Chuck Schumer
40%
Hakeem Jeffries
34%
Andrew Cuomo
34%
Stephen A. Smith
34%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
29%
Kamala Harris

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#๏ธ Politics
#Democratic Party
#2028 US Presidential Election
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