Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

1.7k

29kṀ1.7m

2029

29%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Other

11%

Jon Ossoff

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

J.B. Pritzker

Wes Moore

Gretchen Whitmer

Andy Beshear

Mark Cuban

Tim Walz

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Democratic National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

2028 Election

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#️ Politics

#2028 US Presidential Election

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opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 32% order

2K limit at 32% Newsom yes

bought Ṁ500 NO

@FoxKHTML thanks for the free mana

bought Ṁ987 YES

Still undervalued. Real value right now is 45%

can jasmine crockett be added? not sure about her longevity but she got 3% in the echelon insights poll, which is higher than a lot of "serious" candidates

@DylanSlagh you should add Spanberger. She’s like to win VA Gov in Nov and definitely has a non-zero chance

I don't have notifications on EVER ANYWHERE.

Having said that the funniest thing on earth 🌎 would be if both parties had a woman or a gay man running against each other.

😲 😱 the USA would lose its "f" mind.

There isn't anyone yet.

Till a "YOUNGER- STRONGER"

Personality throws there hat in the ring, there is still no one.

Though Cortex is brilliant 👏 👌.

Polymarket just released there market for this.

https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028?tid=1752951721267

Other seems like a terrible bet, as we are just going to add people who seem like probable candidates.

@JimAusman When new names are added, any current bets on "Other" are extended to them too.

Add Zohran?

@Athena he's not eligible to run for president lol

sold Ṁ150 YES

@DanielEth Any idea why pete‘s odds jumped? I figure your the best person to ask since you’ve got the limit order

@DylanSlagh I'm not that guy but it's mostly due to this AtlasIntel poll from last week, which showed him as the current favorite for the Democratic primaries by a pretty big margin. 31.5% of Democrats said they'd vote for him, vs. only 19.4% for AOC and 16.6% for Harris.