Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century?

12

1kṀ309

2099

54%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

This market is about the extinction risk of the Bornean Orangutan species in the current century, regardless of subspecies. The market will resolve YES if the Bornean Orangutan is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bornean_orangutan

IUCN assessment

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/17975/259043172

For comparison, the market about the wild extinction risk of the Bornean Orangutan:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Extinction Risk

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I have created a second market about the wild extinction risk of the Bornean Orangutan (see link in description above), to allow for a distinction of the wild population and the whole species.

Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.

0-9%: Ultra Low Risk

None

10-19%: Low Risk

None

20-29%: Minor Risk

30-39%: Moderate Risk

Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion

40-49%: Substantial Risk

White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar

50-59%: Significant Risk

Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard

60-69%: High Risk

Tapanuli Orangutan, Bornean Orangutan

70-79%: Severe Risk

Sumatran Rhinoceros

80-89%: Critical Risk

Javan Rhinoceros

90-100%: Ultra High Risk

None

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Will the Tapanuli Orangutan (Pongo tapanuliensis) become extinct in the current century?

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Will the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) become extinct in the current century?

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