Will the Brown Rat, a.k.a. Common Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Brown Rat, a.k.a. Common Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct in the current century?

10

233Ṁ2718

2099

1%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve YES if the Brown Rat/Common Rat is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown_rat

IUCN red list of threatened species:

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/19353/165118026

For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the Brown Rat:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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This is basically equivalent to a global x-risk market given how hardy rats are lol

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