US troops on Venezuelan soil before 2026 if US attacks Venezuela?
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Dec 31
39%
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If the US only conducts air/missile/drone strikes from afar and/or support proxies on the ground without using their own military then this will resolve to NO. It only resolves YES if US combat arms are on the ground.


If the US does not attack in 2025 this resolves N/A


Related:
https://manifold.markets/market/military-conflict-between-the-us-an#507ufumbvgg

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What constitutes "combat arms"? Intelligence operatives? One of the four (five? not counting space force?) branches of the military?

To be clear, CIA saboteurs or agitators won't count even if they wear boots (like the sexy kind?), right?

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