Will Trump's import tariffs on Canada and Mexico be in effect and at least at 25% by EOY?
17
100แน534Dec 31
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there are import tariffs from the US on both Canada and Mexico that are 25% or higher by Jan 1 2026 this resolves to 'yes'. Otherwise 'no'.
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The condition of 25% or higher tariffs applies if at least one type of good imported from both Canada and Mexico is subject to a US import tariff of 25% or more.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@UnconditionalProbability Sorry for long delay - just saw this. Yes, 25% or higher on at least one type of good and in both countries.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
43% chance
What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
Will Trump impose pharma tariffs this year? (2025)
32% chance
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2025?
32% chance
What will be the highest effective US tariff rate on China by EOY 2025?
Tariffs on China by EOY?
-
What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)
Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?
2% chance
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
99% chance