Prop bets Israel
22
500Ṁ1650Jan 1
92%
Israel launches new settlement projects
81%
Wars continue escalating
77%
Israel increases defense spending by 10%
65%
Ceasefire between Israel and Hamas
51%
Israel and Egypt strengthen military cooperation
50%
Israel and Jordan sign new trade agreement
40%
Israel holds early elections
24%
Israel and Qatar normalize relations
21%
Israel's Prime Minister resigns
20%
Israel declares war on Hezbollah
17%
Israel and Turkey restore diplomatic relations
13%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations
12%
Israel's economy enters recession
11%
Israel annexes parts of the West Bank
11%
Israel and Lebanon sign peace treaty
11%
Israel recognizes Palestinian statehood
9%
Israel and Syria normalize relations
Resolved
YESUS gets involved
Resolved
YESIran attacks Israel
Resolved
YESIsrael attacks Iran
Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A ceasefire must hold (remain in effect) to resolve positively. A ceasefire that does not hold will not count toward resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@FecalAbhuman it didn’t hold though I’m willing to hear an argument as to why this should resolve yes