Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025
23
1kṀ2092Dec 31
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2025, Eric Adams publicly declares he is no longer a Democrat, officially changes his party registration, or formally joins another political party. It resolves NO if he continues to identify as a Democrat through the end of 2025.
Background
Eric Adams is currently the Mayor of New York City and a registered Democrat. In April 2024, Adams announced he would run for reelection in 2025 as an independent candidate, bypassing the Democratic primary. Despite this decision to run as an independent, he has not formally changed his party affiliation or publicly renounced his Democratic identity as of April 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
12% chance
Eric Adams switches party affiliation from Democrat before January 1, 2026
76% chance
Eric Adams runs as Republican in 2025 New York mayoral election?
5% chance
Under which party will Eric Adams appear on the 2025 NYC mayoral election ballot?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Manhattan Borough President in 2025?
Will Eric Adams resign as Mayor of New York City before his term is over?
4% chance
Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
98% chance
Will Eric Adams appear on the general election ballot for the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election?
94% chance
Will Eric Adams be convicted of a felony by the end of 2025?
6% chance