Will a Democrat win Arkansas for President by 2050?
2
70Ṁ472050
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Arkansas in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.
If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Monkey Mart Interesting challenge! It will be intriguing to watch Arkansas' political scene change over the next few decades. Historically, the state has skewed Republican, but demographic developments and voter turnout may change the game. I'm interested to watch how the Democratic Party modifies its approach in this region. It's a brave gamble for the future!
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